Currently viewing the tag: "interest rate predictions"

A growing economy has higher mortgage rates. An argument against the economy actually growing is that inflation and other costs will cripple our growth. Inflation also pushes mortgage rates higher.

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Mortgage rates moved higher again last week in a volatile, holiday-shortened trading week. Although the Freddie Mac report said that rates dipped 0.2% from the week prior, their data misses the activity from Thursday and overweights the rates from Monday and Tuesday.

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Mortgage rates rose for the fifth straight week last week. It’s been a volatile stretch that has seen incredible swings in mortgage rates day to day as the U.S. economy keeps showing signs of strength and recovery.

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The issue is that if the trend continues, 30 year fixed rates could easily be at 5.5%, even 6%, by the end of the year.

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Last week was another holiday-shortened week marked by volatility. Mortgage rates improved on three of the four trading days, but still lost overall on the week as Wednesday posted a staggering 93 basis point loss, one of the 10 worst days of the year.

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Mortgage rates rose for their third consecutive week last week. The U.S. dollar weakened. This is, by definition, inflationary.

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In last week’s interest rate predictions, we discussed that a holiday trading week could be a momentum-driven week. It was.

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As we mentioned last week, the 30 Year Fixed v. 5/1 ARM gap may widen and we saw it at the end of the week. The fixed rates improved less on the week than the adjustables.

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Mortgage rates squeezed out narrow improvements last week. After a mortgage rate rally during the Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday trading sessions, a sell-off on Thursday and Friday erased the gains.

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Mortgage rates moved higher last week in volatile trading.

In spite of a rough end to the week, Freddie Mac’s survey (which takes data from earlier in the week) still managed to hit all-time lows for the third week in a row. The benchmark 30-year fixed rate mortgage is now down 1.02% since April 2010.

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