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Loan Rate Predictions for Week of April 26, 2010

By Chris Richter | Published: April 26, 2010

Mortgage markets worsened last week in see-saw trading.  By the time Friday’s market had closed, rates for first time home buyer programs–ARMS, fixed rate conventional, and FHA–had all ticked higher.

The biggest stories of last week were actually non-stories.

First, the ash cloud from Iceland’s Eyjafjallajökull volcano dissipated, allowing warehouses to move inventory, airlines to move people, and businesses to move product.  In addition, Greece moved closer to securing emergency funding that will help it stave off default.

When these two issues were threats earlier in the month, mortgage bonds rallied on safe haven buying, driving rates down. As the threats lessened over the course of last week, however, mortgage bonds sold off and mortgage rates rose.

By contrast, this week features lots of stories. Economic data will be at the forefront, as will the Federal Reserve which meets for one of its 8 scheduled meetings of the year.

  • Monday : Greece is expected to announce an aid package
  • Tuesday : Case-Shiller Index reports on home values from February
  • Wednesday : Fed adjourns from its 2-day meeting
  • Thursday : Initial Unemployment Claims are released
  • Friday : GDP and consumer confidence numbers are released

Furthermore, Wall Street will have its eye on the Senate’s questioning of key Goldman Sachs employees in the wake of the SEC’s fraud charge.

In general, news that’s “good” for the U.S. economy will be bad for mortgage rates, and vice verse.  And with mortgage rates changing as quickly as they have been, rates could really rise in a hurry.

The best defense against rising mortgage rates is to execute a rate lock. If you’re nervous about rates moving higher, call your loan officer and execute your rate lock today.

Related posts

  • This Week’s Mortgage Rate Predictions
  • Mortgage Rates: Expect volatility for week of May 17, 2010
  • Mortgage Interest Rate Predictions: Week of April 19, 2010
  • Loan Rate Predictions | Week of March 15, 2010
  • First Time Homebuyers – Tick Tock
This entry was posted in Weekly Review and tagged Consumer Confidence, First Time Home Buyer, First Time Home Buyer Programs, FOMC, Goldman Sachs, Mortgage Rates. Bookmark the permalink. Post a comment or leave a trackback: Trackback URL.
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