Today’s trading session will be shortened in advance of the holiday weekend.
Personal incomes dropped more than expected and personal spending was near expectations. Consumers slowed their purchases in July with the stimulus checks no longer creating spending growth.
The Core PCE revealed higher than expected inflation figures which dragged bond prices down.
It will [...]
Continue Reading →Bonds are currently testing the 100-day moving average. This important layer of resistance could likely determine if rates can dip and improve any further.
In good news (for stocks), the Gross Domestic Product beat expectations today which is helping stocks extend their rally.
For now, we’re carefully floating; however, bonds are in a position where [...]
Continue Reading →Mortgage bonds opened up a little lower today on a better than expected Durable Goods report. Stocks like that number and, additionally, Atlanta Fed President Lockhart spoke and mentioned that inflationary pressures should ease in the next few months.
While bonds are down a bit, this second piece of news could reverse the market and [...]
Continue Reading →Consumer confidence for August jumped a bit. This optimism appears to be a direct reflection of falling energy prices.
New Home Sales were at 515k versus 525k expectations. The national average home price is down 6.3% year over year. This is actually pretty good news for most Chicago homeowners. That national figure doesn’t reflect your [...]
Continue Reading →Mortgage bonds are trading higher today, pushing mortgage rates slightly lower.
Stocks are taking a beating as financial sector companies like Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Lehman Brothers leave the market feeling uncertain.
We’re seeing a few items following form as predicted in our daily updates. The impact of Oil, the Fed Reserve, and [...]
Continue Reading →Mortgage bonds are down for the second consecutive day. In the news this morning,the Korea Development Bank may be interested in acquiring Lehman Brothers. This added confidence to the financial sector, thus stocks staged a modest rally and money came out of bonds.
Fed Chairman Bernanke is speaking today in Jackson Hole. He gave a [...]
Continue Reading →It’s been a crazy day today; however, that sort of follows what we saw yesterday. Bonds skyrocketed yesterday, pushing rates lower and blowing through that 50 day moving average that kept rates steady for the past few weeks.
You know that part of a Chicago summer where an obnoxious front just settles over Chicago, it’s [...]
Continue Reading →Mortgage bonds have been fighting a tough ceiling of resistance lately. Again, a ceiling that prevents prices from rising past a certain point, prevents rates from falling past a certain point.
So, while bonds are only up about 9 basis points right now, this is very good. The Freddie Mac weekly survey [...]
Continue Reading →Mortgage bonds are trading flat on the day.
The Fed’s Fischer is a known inflation hawk, but he stated today that he sees inflation pressures spreading beyond food and energy. Wholesale inflation, the Producer Price Index (PPI), rose 1.2% in July. This was double expectations and left the year-over-year figure at a whopping 9.8%. That’s [...]
Continue Reading →Mortgage bonds and the stock market are both trading relatively flat today. There is no major economic news today. Oil is up slightly to $114-115 range.
A Baron’s article today sent Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac shares spiraling even further. The article stated that the US Treasury will ultimately need to bail them out [...]
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